Friday, May 04, 2007

Ice Free Global Warming

About 7 years ago I proposed that the carbon-dioxide model could not properly predict the effects of global warming. I went around to all the folks I knew and said the sky is falling a lot faster than you think maybe twenty times faster; maybe even faster than that.

Of course, they said I was crazy. How could I know (anything)? I had based my hypothesis on observation, simple math and the notion of a battery for storing energy. No I didn’t use a super computer, just a notebook, the kind you use a pencil with, and a lot of shoe leather, from Key West to Deadhorse, from Baja to Gander.

I’d like to say I’m pleased to be vindicated, and in a way I am, but, I am actually more frightened. I suspect any of you who are concerned about our existence have read the latest on Arctic ice…that based on anecdotal and direct evidence the Arctic ocean will be ice free by 2050…that the computer model was wrong. And it is still wrong. It is the wrong model.

I still would bet that the planet will be basically ice free in about 12 years. Sure there will be a lot of ice in Antarctica and Greenland, and there is some evidence that Siberia will be colder and drier, but, folks won’t be coming to Alaska to see glaciers.

What’s frightening is dogma, scary religious dogma by the very scientists who we need to rely on. We need to find a solution to our problem quickly: a dramatic solution. Or, we can allow the planet to provide a dramatic solution, the one that resembles the raging fever and the dying bacteria.

We need to recognize that there is no “green” in burning. We can not burn our way out of this no matter how “clean” the fuel. We also must release the stored energy in our dammed rivers. We MUST stop consuming for its own gratification, not just the fuel at the pump, but also the goods and products produced by fire, shipped by fire, packaged by fire, even cooled by fire. Then in about 300 years we might see a turn around.